PolyBot

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Traders

0x878F46fA2c3CE59F91191538e11Abc20D980723d-1772382057255

0x878f46fa2c3ce59f91191538e11abc20d980723d

Realised P&L
$-86.94
Volume
$4.9k
Markets traded
26
Open portfolio
$5.25

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded26
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$3.55−$26.45
Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0560.009$1.70−$8.30
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on April 10, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 14? · Yes0.3640.000$0.00−$15.00
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.0730.000$0.00−$19.60
Israel closes its airspace by June 11? · Yes0.1650.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21? · No0.1320.000$0.00−$20.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 10? · Yes0.4460.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-14 18:15Will Iran close its airspace by June 14?BUY0.3641444909$15.00
06-14 18:14Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.112$14.12
06-10 21:27Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?BUY0.4463929826$50.00
06-10 21:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?SELL0.3842912125$45.13
06-10 21:26Will Iran close its airspace by June 10?BUY0.4257142461$50.00
06-10 21:14Israel closes its airspace by June 11?BUY0.1649999879$10.00
06-09 16:49Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1189999932$15.00
06-08 17:51Will the US strike 12 countries in 2026?BUY0.0560217123$10.00
06-07 20:51Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.1491053566$10.00
06-07 18:19Iran closes its airspace by June 15?BUY0.2661299296$20.00
05-23 12:49Israel closes its airspace by May 24?BUY0.8599999986$50.00
05-20 13:06Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 21?BUY0.1320754663$20.00
04-17 06:44Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?SELL0.001$0.20
04-12 08:48Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026?BUY0.12$24.00
04-11 09:55Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 5:50AM-5:55AM ETSELL0.99$15.52