78763
0x878dc388c58f3137ce2c9a6176506c4094691a9b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $642.9k
- Markets traded
- 744
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded744
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.555Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide
- +$1.7kat 0.150US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$769.05at 0.314Over $7M committed to the Infinex public sale?
- +$726.82at 0.535Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$663.01at 0.183US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 03:00 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June? | SELL | 0.762 | $0.76 |
| 04-27 04:32 | Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $1.15 |
| 04-27 03:56 | Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana? | SELL | 0.1 | $3.00 |
| 04-27 02:45 | Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027? | SELL | 0.044 | $0.88 |
| 04-26 21:27 | Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30? | SELL | 0.0329348255 | $0.50 |
| 04-26 11:44 | Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.52 | $20.80 |
| 04-26 02:48 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat? | SELL | 0.82 | $18.36 |
| 04-26 00:14 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.024 | $1.87 |
| 04-25 23:41 | Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5? | SELL | 0.97 | $20.37 |
| 04-25 19:40 | Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30? | SELL | 0.9428846154 | $98.06 |
| 04-25 06:46 | US strike on Cuba by December 31? | SELL | 0.37 | $1.74 |
| 04-25 06:24 | SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.05 | $2.00 |
| 04-25 02:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $20.59 |
| 04-25 02:03 | Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting? | SELL | 0.71 | $24.85 |
| 04-25 00:17 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $126.55 |