PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

78763

0x878dc388c58f3137ce2c9a6176506c4094691a9b

Realised P&L
$-5.4k
Volume
$642.9k
Markets traded
744
Open portfolio
$2.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded744
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration27.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? · No0.6271.000$600.00+$224.00
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? · No0.9521.000$200.00+$9.60
Will Cyndi Munson win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.8951.000$100.00+$10.50
Will a team from LPL (China) win MSI 2026? · No0.7001.000$100.00+$30.00
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8700.935$93.50+$6.50
Will Ahmad Vahidi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.9360.996$79.78+$4.77
Will Eric Chung be the Democratic Nominee for MI-10? · No0.3351.000$66.69+$44.35
Prince Andrew sentenced to prison? · No0.8550.989$50.18+$6.79
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? · Yes0.8401.000$50.00+$8.00
Will SpaceX’s IPO valuation be between 1.50T and 1.75T? · No0.6801.000$50.00+$16.00
Blue tsunami in 2026? · Yes0.4600.495$49.50+$3.50
Will the Republican Party win the OK-03 House seat? · Yes0.9100.969$48.45+$2.95
Will the Republican Party win the TX-03 House seat? · Yes0.8400.945$47.25+$5.25
Will Pete Ricketts be the Republican nominee for Senate in Nebraska? · Yes0.9711.000$47.13+$1.37
Will the Republican Party win the AL-06 House seat? · Yes0.9100.940$47.00+$1.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-28 03:00Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,200-$4,600 in June?SELL0.762$0.76
04-27 04:32Will Bitcoin outperform Silver in April 2026?SELL0.023$1.15
04-27 03:56Will Reilly Neill be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Montana?SELL0.1$3.00
04-27 02:45Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.5% or higher before 2027?SELL0.044$0.88
04-26 21:27Will Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?SELL0.0329348255$0.50
04-26 11:44Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.52$20.80
04-26 02:48Will the Democratic Party win the VA-05 House seat?SELL0.82$18.36
04-26 00:14Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?SELL0.024$1.87
04-25 23:41Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be exactly 5?SELL0.97$20.37
04-25 19:40Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?SELL0.9428846154$98.06
04-25 06:46US strike on Cuba by December 31?SELL0.37$1.74
04-25 06:24SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL0.05$2.00
04-25 02:38Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.47$20.59
04-25 02:03Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?SELL0.71$24.85
04-25 00:17Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.63$126.55