PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Omigru

0x8788a3faa10516e23cd8e283d0cced941fba2e54

Realised P&L
$-27.95
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$6.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.3700.355$2.88−$0.12
Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1000.115$2.30+$0.30
Will Russia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.5800.555$1.15−$0.05
Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.2000.001$0.01−$2.99
Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1900.001$0.01−$1.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 15:11Will Russia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5799998647$1.20
09-29 15:10Will Gambia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1$2.00
09-29 15:08Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.3699999593$3.00
09-29 15:07Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.12$1.50
09-29 14:33Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.08$2.00
09-29 13:32Will South Sudan win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.021$0.35
09-29 02:56Will Burundi win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.08$2.00
09-29 02:55Will Madagascar win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.4$5.00
09-29 02:54Will Sudan win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1899999962$2.00
09-29 02:53Will South Sudan win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-29 02:52Will Australia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.1$2.00
09-29 02:51Will Namibia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.2$3.00
09-29 02:36Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.0038483179$0.13
09-29 02:02Will El Salvador win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.2899999968$10.00
09-29 01:57Will Honduras win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.999$18.85