PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

arvinlleva94

0x87884af641ae4ffac780fbc40bc298ccbde00e05

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$59.8k
Markets traded
4
Open portfolio
$11.2k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-7.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded4
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No0.5230.405$7.1k$2.1k
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1530.105$4.1k$1.9k
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) · Alex Pereira0.5100.000$0.00$1000.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-05 16:55Spread: Oregon (-24.5)BUY0.4800333553$500.00
09-03 22:502026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5063120734$1000.00
09-03 22:492026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1196090219$1000.00
06-15 01:46UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999999$500.00
06-15 01:122026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1766436648$503.00
06-15 01:08UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)BUY0.5099999999$500.00
05-06 22:102026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5234272973$2.0k
03-31 22:002026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5$1.2k
03-24 22:522026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5471239227$2.5k
03-24 22:512026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1691023446$2.2k
03-24 20:252026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1534204122$250.00
03-24 20:082026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5204110106$500.00
03-24 19:402026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.1538587214$2.0k
03-19 23:282026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.52$1.0k
03-19 23:272026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5199999998$1000.00