PolyBot

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Traders

T3tK1ng

0x8781f7331c3694098c3e9cd3c56c2df7548119c0

Realised P&L
$-185.21
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.4k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.6770.993$645.32+$205.31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.4980.525$543.52+$27.54
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.6480.640$479.29−$5.71
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5930.595$358.46+$1.46
Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes0.6040.910$245.49+$82.43
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6620.355$160.79−$139.21
Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$210.00
Trump renames AI by September 30? · No0.2830.000$0.00−$74.86

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 00:16Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.6476292761$485.00
11-01 00:15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?SELL0.53$484.73
11-01 00:09Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5983402562$207.00
11-01 00:09Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.5847864331$150.00
10-31 16:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?SELL0.68$143.43
10-31 11:02Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?SELL0.6169827536$213.22
10-29 21:50US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.8728446552$200.00
10-29 01:29Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6623355112$300.00
10-28 21:53US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?SELL0.6005364087$223.91
10-28 01:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6657897389$356.74
10-28 01:39Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.6599999996$250.00
10-27 21:51Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5299999998$161.00
10-27 21:50Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5299999988$140.00
10-21 22:24Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.4599999996$204.98
10-21 22:23Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027?BUY0.459999988$10.00