T3tK1ng
0x8781f7331c3694098c3e9cd3c56c2df7548119c0
- Realised P&L
- $-185.21
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.677 | 0.993 | $645.32 | +$205.31 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.498 | 0.525 | $543.52 | +$27.54 |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No | 0.648 | 0.640 | $479.29 | −$5.71 |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.593 | 0.595 | $358.46 | +$1.46 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? · Yes | 0.604 | 0.910 | $245.49 | +$82.43 |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes | 0.662 | 0.355 | $160.79 | −$139.21 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 15? · No | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$210.00 |
| Trump renames AI by September 30? · No | 0.283 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$74.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.68at 0.644Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
- +$35.81at 0.580Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?
- +$29.91at 0.297Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?
- +$8.44at 0.640US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?
- +$6.91at 0.582US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 00:16 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.6476292761 | $485.00 |
| 11-01 00:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.53 | $484.73 |
| 11-01 00:09 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5983402562 | $207.00 |
| 11-01 00:09 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5847864331 | $150.00 |
| 10-31 16:31 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.68 | $143.43 |
| 10-31 11:02 | Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.6169827536 | $213.22 |
| 10-29 21:50 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.8728446552 | $200.00 |
| 10-29 01:29 | Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6623355112 | $300.00 |
| 10-28 21:53 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6005364087 | $223.91 |
| 10-28 01:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6657897389 | $356.74 |
| 10-28 01:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.6599999996 | $250.00 |
| 10-27 21:51 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5299999998 | $161.00 |
| 10-27 21:50 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5299999988 | $140.00 |
| 10-21 22:24 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.4599999996 | $204.98 |
| 10-21 22:23 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |