0x877fa527d4545e51b1a14d5ed6fda00745d2bad4
0x877fa527d4545e51b1a14d5ed6fda00745d2bad4
- Realised P&L
- $7.02
- Volume
- $195.15
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $2.25
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? · No | 0.720 | 0.805 | $1.12 | +$0.12 |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? · No | 0.530 | 0.425 | $0.80 | −$0.20 |
| Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.100 | $0.27 | −$0.73 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.045 | $0.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.97at 0.258Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026?
- +$2.67at 0.278Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026?
- +$2.20at 0.319Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $102.50 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.91at 0.349Will Trump say "Border" 15+ times during remarks in New York?
- +$1.61at 0.389Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 Week of August 24 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 01:42 | Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+? | BUY | 0.5299998463 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 17:41 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999593 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 09:41 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $1.00 |
| 10-14 01:37 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 12 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:38 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599997976 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 14:33 | Will Unity Bancorp (UNTY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-11 05:05 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999424 | $1.00 |
| 10-10 19:35 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.4799998464 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 09:40 | Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.559999776 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 00:02 | Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (LOW) $167.50 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.7099998509 | $1.00 |
| 10-08 07:51 | Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 10-07 23:51 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $192 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.2699999784 | $1.00 |
| 10-05 02:08 | Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $355 Week of October 5 2026? | BUY | 0.3799999924 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 18:08 | Will Trump name an AI czar by October 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.6299998362 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 12:29 | Will the next Claude Haiku (4.6+) model be released by October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |