0x877eb9F4931D9183cB1638a2DAeb6ACe96D85f22-1770586412360
0x877eb9f4931d9183cb1638a2daeb6ace96d85f22
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $95.9k
- Markets traded
- 889
- Open portfolio
- $980.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded889
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$462.05at 0.588Spread: France (-1.5)
- +$418.56at 0.242Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
- +$404.35at 0.690Mexico vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?
- +$377.52at 0.471Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
- +$366.67at 0.120Exact Score: Switzerland 0 - 0 Colombia?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:31 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 17:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9499999981 | $100.00 |
| 07-26 18:04 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $300.00 |
| 07-26 18:03 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 07-20 17:17 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.7400565757 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 17:15 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.6882394832 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:47 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.0974999947 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 21:43 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.9299999154 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 21:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3174999888 | $15.00 |
| 07-19 21:00 | Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.6099999961 | $50.00 |
| 07-19 20:34 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.1849999959 | $35.00 |
| 07-19 20:30 | Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5 | SELL | 0.3673097049 | $52.65 |
| 07-19 20:07 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-19 19:06 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina? | BUY | 0.0699999939 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 19:05 | Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |