PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x877eb9F4931D9183cB1638a2DAeb6ACe96D85f22-1770586412360

0x877eb9f4931d9183cb1638a2daeb6ace96d85f22

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$95.9k
Markets traded
889
Open portfolio
$980.07

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.2%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded889
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration52.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.9250.955$515.89+$15.89
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6490.705$434.42+$34.42
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.6330.545$18.07$2.93
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.5600.655$11.70+$1.70
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.1950.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00$30.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00$50.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2180.000$0.00$62.00
France vs. Spain: France O/U 0.5 · Over0.7900.000$0.00$100.00
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1320.000$0.00$32.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.7670.000$0.00$100.00
Argentina to score first vs. Egypt? · Yes0.7400.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1850.000$0.00$30.00
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3650.000$0.00$150.00
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:31Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9499999981$100.00
08-02 17:25Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9499999981$100.00
07-26 18:04Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?BUY0.9099999999$300.00
07-26 18:03Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.64$200.00
07-20 17:17Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.7400565757$100.00
07-20 17:15Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6882394832$100.00
07-19 21:47Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.0974999947$15.00
07-19 21:43Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.9299999154$10.00
07-19 21:30Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3174999888$15.00
07-19 21:00Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.6099999961$50.00
07-19 20:34Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.1849999959$35.00
07-19 20:30Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5SELL0.3673097049$52.65
07-19 20:07Exact Score: Spain 2 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.089999996$20.00
07-19 19:06Exact Score: Spain 2 - 2 Argentina?BUY0.0699999939$10.00
07-19 19:05Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1499999887$10.00