Tomas-Pei
0x8779d6cce5ee08bd80510ba3a314de27cbab3eaa
- Realised P&L
- $-665.65
- Volume
- $24.8k
- Markets traded
- 830
- Open portfolio
- $35.11
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded830
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.55at 0.203Will the highest temperature in Munich be 23°C on July 19?
- +$15.51at 0.399Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 28?
- +$15.39at 0.533Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET
- +$11.00at 0.620Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$10.56at 0.465Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9819999999 | $34.95 |
| 10-03 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.864370607 | $35.17 |
| 10-02 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.9944348394 | $40.47 |
| 10-01 18:50 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.995 | $40.36 |
| 09-30 12:57 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.9856522598 | $39.90 |
| 09-30 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 1? | BUY | 0.995 | $39.79 |
| 09-28 22:27 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.99 | $39.54 |
| 09-28 13:42 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 30? | BUY | 0.991 | $19.61 |
| 09-28 10:52 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.01 |
| 09-28 10:42 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $9.94 |
| 09-27 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $27.06 |
| 09-27 16:45 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $12.39 |
| 09-27 16:10 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.995 | $26.99 |
| 09-27 12:03 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $18.95 |
| 09-27 01:40 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.98 | $38.86 |