PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Tomas-Pei

0x8779d6cce5ee08bd80510ba3a314de27cbab3eaa

Realised P&L
$-665.65
Volume
$24.8k
Markets traded
830
Open portfolio
$35.11

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded830
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 4? · No0.9820.987$35.11+$0.16
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.2600.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET · Down0.1700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET · Up0.2800.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 7? · No0.9700.000$0.00−$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down0.2500.000$0.00−$2.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET · Down0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.3500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 88°F or higher on July 28? · Yes0.0290.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET · Up0.4000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET · Down0.0200.000$0.00−$0.10
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET · Down0.4200.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET · Up0.4500.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET · Up0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-03 01:08Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on October 4?BUY0.9819999999$34.95
10-03 01:07Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?SELL0.864370607$35.17
10-02 01:03Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 3?BUY0.9944348394$40.47
10-01 18:50Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on October 2?BUY0.995$40.36
09-30 12:57Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 28°C on October 2?BUY0.9856522598$39.90
09-30 01:03Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 19°C on October 1?BUY0.995$39.79
09-28 22:27Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 30?BUY0.99$39.54
09-28 13:42Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 12°C on September 30?BUY0.991$19.61
09-28 10:52Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.996$10.01
09-28 10:42Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 29?BUY0.995$9.94
09-27 18:32Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.995$27.06
09-27 16:45Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 23°C on September 29?BUY0.995$12.39
09-27 16:10Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on September 29?BUY0.995$26.99
09-27 12:03Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.99$18.95
09-27 01:40Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on September 28?BUY0.98$38.86