PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FreeBird9

0x876f592240a711a038a651a99c1ad0b53e84e56f

Realised P&L
$-432.31
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$609.78

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9280.956$261.12+$7.65
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.986$185.57+$8.57
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.018$80.92$24.20
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5790.645$56.12+$5.75
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.976$25.36+$1.18
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes0.0270.005$0.69$2.73
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May? · No0.9000.000$0.00$98.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 09:04Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5788505747$50.36
09-02 08:22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.026$0.94
09-02 07:51Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.027$0.97
09-02 07:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.028$1.50
09-01 14:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$50.10
09-01 14:29Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$1.56
09-01 14:28Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0282307692$1.47
09-01 08:53Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.9341550067$180.80
08-29 16:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.02$52.00
08-29 16:08Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.928$48.14
08-29 16:02Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.928$198.73
07-10 10:36Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.868$153.64
07-10 10:35Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.8681805054$120.24
07-10 10:34Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$317.73
07-06 14:30Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.838$92.18