PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FreeBird9

0x876f592240a711a038a651a99c1ad0b53e84e56f

Realised P&L
$-476.91
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$649.33

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration70.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch? · No0.9280.965$263.44+$9.97
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.987$185.76+$8.76
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0240.024$102.79−$2.33
Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.5790.825$71.78+$21.41
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.984$25.57+$1.39
Will Hyperliquid reach $52 in May? · No0.9000.000$0.00−$98.45
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$3.42

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-02 09:04Will Raphaël Glucksmann be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.5788505747$50.36
09-02 08:22Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.026$0.94
09-02 07:51Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.027$0.97
09-02 07:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in September?BUY0.028$1.50
09-01 14:30Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$50.10
09-01 14:29Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.03$1.56
09-01 14:28Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0282307692$1.47
09-01 08:53Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.9341550067$180.80
08-29 16:10Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.02$52.00
08-29 16:08Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.928$48.14
08-29 16:02Variational FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.928$198.73
07-10 10:36Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.868$153.64
07-10 10:35Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.8681805054$120.24
07-10 10:34Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?SELL0.62$317.73
07-06 14:30Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?SELL0.838$92.18