gcfh5y
0x87643c08f46d42676d077226df1c6723cef45936
- Realised P&L
- $-7.20
- Volume
- $6.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $14.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $13.49 | −$0.01 |
| UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov | 0.380 | 0.350 | $1.05 | −$0.09 |
| Hornets vs. Nets · Hornets | 0.640 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 7? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,600 on December 15? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.40 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on December 26? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.80 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.19at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 23?
- +$0.16at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on March 16?
- +$0.16at 0.998US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
- +$0.16at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?
- +$0.15at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 15:17 | Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.50 |
| 09-27 15:17 | UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.38 | $1.14 |
| 08-05 11:35 | Will Vinicius Junior join Al-Nassr? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.70 |
| 06-09 07:22 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $81.00 |
| 06-06 06:55 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from June 6 to June 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $81.00 |
| 06-01 09:09 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on June 1? | BUY | 0.9989999887 | $81.00 |
| 05-26 09:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 05-20 03:29 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20? | BUY | 0.9989999885 | $80.00 |
| 05-15 07:34 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |
| 05-13 03:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9979999905 | $79.90 |
| 05-10 09:48 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $77.00 |
| 05-10 09:48 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on May 10? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.00 |
| 05-10 09:48 | Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.13 |
| 05-10 09:48 | Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 05-07 02:47 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $80.00 |