Ppm
0x8761d3673947ac309aa17bfdc256e9260f3a093d
- Realised P&L
- $-23.14
- Volume
- $182.34
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $73.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration87.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? · Yes | 0.699 | 0.519 | $73.20 | −$25.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.61at 0.416Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October?
- +$0.82at 0.643Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$-5.00at 0.170Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 13:20 | Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6987689349 | $87.70 |
| 09-17 13:10 | Will Rob Howard win the 2026 Richmond mayoral election? | BUY | 0.6979999982 | $10.84 |
| 10-25 10:25 | Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.642999584 | $1.47 |
| 10-23 21:47 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.3299997822 | $1.00 |
| 10-23 21:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 10-22 03:07 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in October? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 10-20 09:39 | Will the Conservatives win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |