PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

flower99

0x876191d0b013f06d234d45dc929c80ef07cb6ca2

Realised P&L
$-277.67
Volume
$71.3k
Markets traded
60
Open portfolio
$47.14

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded60
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No0.9900.992$15.03+$0.03
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No0.9960.997$12.01+$0.01
Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.9760.987$10.11+$0.11
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7? · No0.9970.997$10.00+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-06 08:02Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7?BUY0.997$10.00
10-06 08:01Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11?BUY0.996$12.00
10-06 08:01Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11?BUY0.99$15.00
09-20 02:23Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September?BUY0.9969999165$9.00
09-20 02:22Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21?BUY0.98$5.00
08-02 02:25Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August?BUY0.99$3.00
08-02 02:25Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati RedsBUY0.91$1.00
08-02 02:24Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.997$10.00
07-26 03:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27?BUY0.995$6.00
07-04 12:20Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.83$1.10
07-04 12:20Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July?BUY0.9929998453$6.00
07-04 12:19Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5?BUY0.9929999999$15.00
06-25 08:30Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9889999989$9.00
06-25 08:29Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26?BUY0.996$22.00
06-08 03:24Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June?BUY0.9429997676$2.50