flower99
0x876191d0b013f06d234d45dc929c80ef07cb6ca2
- Realised P&L
- $-277.67
- Volume
- $71.3k
- Markets traded
- 60
- Open portfolio
- $47.14
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded60
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.990 | 0.992 | $15.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? · No | 0.996 | 0.997 | $12.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.976 | 0.987 | $10.11 | +$0.11 |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7? · No | 0.997 | 0.997 | $10.00 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.56at 0.420Knicks vs. Heat
- +$1.43at 0.957Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
- +$1.07at 0.560Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$0.78at 0.870Will Google have the top AI model on September 30?
- +$0.73at 0.757Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on October 7? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 10-06 08:01 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.996 | $12.00 |
| 10-06 08:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 October 5-11? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.00 |
| 09-20 02:23 | Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in September? | BUY | 0.9969999165 | $9.00 |
| 09-20 02:22 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.99 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 02:25 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.91 | $1.00 |
| 08-02 02:24 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.997 | $10.00 |
| 07-26 03:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 27? | BUY | 0.995 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 12:20 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.10 |
| 07-04 12:20 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in July? | BUY | 0.9929998453 | $6.00 |
| 07-04 12:19 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on July 5? | BUY | 0.9929999999 | $15.00 |
| 06-25 08:30 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9889999989 | $9.00 |
| 06-25 08:29 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 26? | BUY | 0.996 | $22.00 |
| 06-08 03:24 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9429997676 | $2.50 |