CorkisGeldbeutel
0x875e974594985283c999765461bf2e15b4dee6b5
- Realised P&L
- $12.9k
- Volume
- $2.73M
- Markets traded
- 6,159
- Open portfolio
- $157.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,159
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on September 17? · Yes | 0.956 | 0.965 | $96.50 | +$0.92 |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? · No | 0.990 | 0.995 | $60.90 | +$0.28 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.2kat 0.750Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 25?
- +$3.5kat 0.794Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 18?
- +$3.2kat 0.757Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on April 25?
- +$3.0kat 0.749Will the highest temperature in Austin be 70°F or higher on April 23?
- +$2.7kat 0.781Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on April 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 00:13 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 22:55 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 22:54 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.9888014342 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.976842528 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 19:02 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $46.17 |
| 09-17 18:36 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on September 17? | BUY | 0.99 | $49.50 |
| 09-17 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $469.27 |
| 09-17 18:04 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 26°C or higher on September 17? | BUY | 0.998 | $499.00 |
| 09-17 04:33 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.95 |
| 09-17 04:31 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on September 17? | BUY | 0.996 | $49.80 |
| 09-17 00:58 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on September 16? | BUY | 0.98 | $49.50 |
| 09-16 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $541.77 |