yuanyueya
0x8758c91902e50e50a737070a044c5402c4c9530a
- Realised P&L
- $-8.3k
- Volume
- $20.7k
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $10.82
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-40.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration97.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration71.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.144 | 0.130 | $7.77 | −$0.86 |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.305 | $3.05 | −$1.25 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.561 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.02 |
| Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? · No | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.430Raptors vs. Suns
- +$14.98at 0.337UCF Knights vs. BYU Cougars
- +$14.21at 0.331Western Michigan Broncos vs. Bowling Green Falcons
- +$9.17at 0.521Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5)
- +$7.55at 0.368Northwestern Wildcats vs. Indiana Hoosiers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 07:37 | Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15? | BUY | 0.179999895 | $1.20 |
| 05-01 16:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 04-27 15:52 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.539999984 | $2.02 |
| 04-20 17:32 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.65 | $0.97 |
| 04-18 14:16 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $1.94 |
| 03-22 13:02 | Spread: Celtics (-9.5) | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 12:58 | Nets vs. Kings: O/U 218.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 03-22 12:58 | Spread: Nuggets (-8.5) | BUY | 0.489999869 | $1.01 |
| 03-22 12:58 | UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricane | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $0.99 |
| 03-22 11:57 | Spread: Auburn Tigers (-12.5) | BUY | 0.4799998272 | $0.99 |
| 03-22 11:57 | Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.99 |
| 03-22 11:56 | Spread: St. John's Red Storm (-3.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $4.91 |
| 03-22 11:56 | St. John's Red Storm vs. Kansas Jayhawks | BUY | 0.39 | $4.49 |
| 03-13 15:32 | Timberwolves vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.3299999271 | $1.90 |
| 02-27 07:30 | Oilers vs. Kings | SELL | 0.999 | $2.00 |