tkwkddls4862
0x87569195f70ad909e36324e260fec9aa9f697fe5
- Realised P&L
- $4.08
- Volume
- $46.02
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $7.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.545 | $4.42 | −$0.12 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · No | 0.550 | 0.375 | $3.35 | −$1.56 |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.91 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.63at 0.524MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
- +$4.43at 0.530Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 04:33 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5599998816 | $4.54 |
| 05-22 04:24 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? | BUY | 0.5299893536 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 04:20 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.5139999743 | $5.00 |
| 05-22 04:13 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5499999944 | $4.91 |
| 05-22 04:10 | Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.5 | $4.91 |