Trotz.85
0x87531c465a5a729850e1e2c4fd4af3dcb87d85ad
- Realised P&L
- $75.6k
- Volume
- $9.07M
- Markets traded
- 4,026
- Open portfolio
- $4.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,026
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Chicago White Sox | 0.390 | 0.710 | $2.8k | +$1.3k |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.660 | $1.1k | +$221.00 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.745 | $555.20 | +$301.82 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Atlanta Braves | 0.392 | 0.510 | $245.15 | +$56.49 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Boston Red Sox | 0.460 | 0.550 | $165.97 | +$27.16 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.390 | 0.585 | $21.55 | +$7.18 |
| Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$18.91 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.71 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$799.00 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$901.00 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) · Kansas City Royals | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$901.00 |
| Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.130Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.3kat 0.529Stars vs. Wild
- +$7.2kat 0.538Stars vs. Wild
- +$7.1kat 0.482Mariners vs. Tigers
- +$5.8kat 0.872Packers vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:37 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $438.60 |
| 08-02 17:33 | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) | SELL | 0.63 | $1.4k |
| 08-01 23:14 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.66 | $1.6k |
| 08-01 23:05 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.53 | $948.70 |
| 08-01 01:25 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $948.70 |
| 08-01 00:39 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $516.99 |
| 08-01 00:15 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $2.1k |
| 08-01 00:02 | Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $420.00 |
| 07-30 22:46 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.55 | $1.0k |
| 07-29 23:01 | Boston Red Sox vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $286.68 |
| 07-29 20:10 | Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $10.40 |
| 07-29 02:12 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 07-29 02:11 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.38 | $76.00 |
| 07-29 02:08 | Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.39 | $132.60 |
| 07-29 02:00 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $1.1k |