Trotz.85
0x87531c465a5a729850e1e2c4fd4af3dcb87d85ad
- Realised P&L
- $88.5k
- Volume
- $9.46M
- Markets traded
- 4,303
- Open portfolio
- $4.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,303
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Cardinals | 0.530 | 0.535 | $1.2k | +$10.91 |
| Bengals vs. Texans · Texans | 0.580 | 0.575 | $1.1k | −$9.55 |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 World Series? · No | 0.910 | 0.906 | $973.07 | −$3.61 |
| Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.915 | $681.89 | +$428.51 |
| Spread: Packers (-6.5) · Jets | 0.600 | 0.610 | $237.00 | +$3.89 |
| Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.779 | 0.744 | $26.79 | −$1.26 |
| Spread: Patriots (-3.5) · Patriots | 0.540 | 0.545 | $23.14 | +$0.21 |
| Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.001 | $0.10 | −$18.91 |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5 · Under | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$551.00 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.2k |
| Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) · Pittsburgh Pirates | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.71 |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians · Detroit Tigers | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$799.00 |
| Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5) · Texas Rangers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$901.00 |
| 76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 · Under | 0.517 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.9kat 0.130Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.3kat 0.531Stars vs. Wild
- +$7.2kat 0.538Stars vs. Wild
- +$7.1kat 0.482Mariners vs. Tigers
- +$5.8kat 0.872Packers vs. Vikings
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:50 | Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5) | BUY | 0.59 | $1.2k |
| 09-17 17:07 | Athletics vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $51.92 |
| 09-17 16:39 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $948.70 |
| 09-17 16:32 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.441 | $401.31 |
| 09-16 23:54 | Spread: San Diego Padres (-2.5) | BUY | 0.58 | $49.34 |
| 09-16 23:38 | Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $877.20 |
| 09-16 22:43 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $988.20 |
| 09-16 22:35 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.51 | $438.60 |
| 09-16 17:12 | San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.52 | $457.60 |
| 09-16 16:59 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.58 | $575.38 |
| 09-15 23:53 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.56 | $509.60 |
| 09-15 23:39 | Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | BUY | 0.56 | $1.1k |
| 09-15 22:43 | Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-1.5) | BUY | 0.46 | $800.40 |
| 09-15 22:33 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $477.00 |
| 09-15 01:34 | Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $420.00 |