0x8752DdbED126A57dd05A0e85526a16642D7E31b6-1776255444749
0x8752ddbed126a57dd05a0e85526a16642d7e31b6
- Realised P&L
- $-316.71
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $0.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$121.52at 0.030Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on April 16?
- +$85.43at 0.089Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 14?
- +$80.19at 0.583Will the highest temperature in Busan be 32°C on August 19?
- +$59.96at 0.205Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 11?
- +$42.65at 0.261Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C on August 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-27 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 09-27 14:34 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 27? | BUY | 0.68 | $6.80 |
| 09-22 14:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.22 | $4.40 |
| 09-16 14:14 | Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.051 | $5.10 |
| 09-16 14:13 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 16? | BUY | 0.03 | $6.00 |
| 09-09 13:29 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.29 | $22.31 |
| 09-09 06:17 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2599999997 | $20.00 |
| 09-08 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.20 |
| 09-08 12:13 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.4949 | $4.95 |
| 09-08 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.15476 | $1.55 |
| 09-08 05:53 | Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-08 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 09-08 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 09-07 13:35 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.40 |
| 09-07 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.148 | $1.48 |