0x874b3e7949062458bc401adfe77b6fc13d8348e0
- Realised P&L
- $-244.98
- Volume
- $3.0k
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $622.74
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? · Yes | 0.416 | 0.405 | $358.29 | −$9.71 |
| São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.640 | 0.565 | $176.56 | −$23.44 |
| Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5) · São Paulo FC | 0.170 | 0.165 | $87.65 | −$2.66 |
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.610 | 0.001 | $0.17 | −$204.86 |
| CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over | 0.470 | 0.001 | $0.06 | −$60.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$33.29at 0.732CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 7.5 Total Corners
- +$26.85at 0.482Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15?
- +$19.61at 0.704Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 9.5
- +$2.90at 0.815Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 10.5
- +$-6.75at 0.817Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 00:26 | Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5) | BUY | 0.1699999997 | $90.31 |
| 09-16 00:25 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.41 | $146.00 |
| 09-16 00:09 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.4199999989 | $62.00 |
| 09-16 00:08 | Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? | BUY | 0.4199999996 | $60.00 |
| 09-16 00:06 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | SELL | 0.9979821401 | $127.40 |
| 09-15 20:30 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 9.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.4699999965 | $61.00 |
| 09-15 20:30 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.609999999 | $205.03 |
| 09-15 20:28 | CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | BUY | 0.7183793171 | $91.71 |
| 09-15 19:55 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 09-15 16:54 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15? | BUY | 0.5490196053 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 16:49 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15? | BUY | 0.539999986 | $10.00 |
| 09-15 14:09 | Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15? | BUY | 0.4699999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-15 14:00 | Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.8000407365 | $196.39 |
| 09-15 13:54 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 15? | SELL | 0.8014400557 | $207.36 |
| 09-15 13:50 | Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.7828844809 | $8.78 |