PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x874b3e7949062458bc401adfe77b6fc13d8348e0

Realised P&L
$-244.98
Volume
$3.0k
Markets traded
11
Open portfolio
$622.74

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded11
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration40.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15? · Yes0.4160.405$358.29$9.71
São Paulo FC vs. CA Boca Juniors: O/U 1.5 · Over0.6400.565$176.56$23.44
Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5) · São Paulo FC0.1700.165$87.65$2.66
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 8.5 Total Corners · Over0.6100.001$0.17$204.86
CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 9.5 Total Corners · Over0.4700.001$0.06$60.94

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 00:26Spread: São Paulo FC (-1.5)BUY0.1699999997$90.31
09-16 00:25Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.41$146.00
09-16 00:09Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4199999989$62.00
09-16 00:08Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-15?BUY0.4199999996$60.00
09-16 00:06CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 7.5 Total CornersSELL0.9979821401$127.40
09-15 20:30CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 9.5 Total CornersBUY0.4699999965$61.00
09-15 20:30CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 8.5 Total CornersBUY0.609999999$205.03
09-15 20:28CR Vasco da Gama vs. Independiente Santa Fe: O/U 7.5 Total CornersBUY0.7183793171$91.71
09-15 19:55Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15?SELL0.01$0.05
09-15 16:54Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15?BUY0.5490196053$50.00
09-15 16:49Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15?BUY0.539999986$10.00
09-15 14:09Will Apple (AAPL) close above $330 on September 15?BUY0.4699999988$100.00
09-15 14:00Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on September 15?SELL0.8000407365$196.39
09-15 13:54Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 15?SELL0.8014400557$207.36
09-15 13:50Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on September 15?BUY0.7828844809$8.78