Sun35
0x8744875abcddfdf877b1293db5832c9f44d39fe8
- Realised P&L
- $-38.85
- Volume
- $2.0k
- Markets traded
- 33
- Open portfolio
- $6.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded33
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample41 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)36.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.305 | $6.40 | −$0.73 |
| Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.022 | $0.07 | −$0.66 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.41at 0.290Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?
- +$10.65at 0.470Blue Jackets vs. Kraken
- +$7.92at 0.349Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$7.58at 0.400Warriors vs. Spurs
- +$5.48at 0.640Tulsa vs. Florida Atlantic
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-02 22:40 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.84 |
| 10-01 11:05 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.76 | $10.09 |
| 09-24 04:45 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 50%-55%? | SELL | 0.19 | $4.79 |
| 09-22 05:10 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.1 | $0.51 |
| 09-22 02:34 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.41 |
| 09-21 07:20 | Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government? | SELL | 0.72 | $12.10 |
| 09-16 08:10 | Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.86 |
| 09-15 03:51 | Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%? | SELL | 0.26 | $2.79 |
| 09-13 08:02 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.447 | $9.39 |
| 09-07 06:18 | Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? | SELL | 0.12 | $2.64 |
| 09-03 21:28 | Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.09 |
| 08-27 04:38 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.80 |
| 08-25 14:40 | Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.26 |
| 08-24 14:57 | Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | SELL | 0.36 | $7.56 |
| 08-17 03:10 | Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? | SELL | 0.73 | $15.33 |