PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sun35

0x8744875abcddfdf877b1293db5832c9f44d39fe8

Realised P&L
$-38.85
Volume
$2.0k
Markets traded
33
Open portfolio
$6.48

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded33
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample41 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3400.305$6.40−$0.73
Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections? · Yes0.2300.022$0.07−$0.66

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-02 22:40Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% in October?SELL0.04$0.84
10-01 11:05Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 NY-24 House election by 20%-25%?SELL0.76$10.09
09-24 04:45Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 NY-09 House election by 50%-55%?SELL0.19$4.79
09-22 05:10Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.1$0.51
09-22 02:34Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 KS-01 House election by 15%-20%?SELL0.12$2.41
09-21 07:20Will the Green Party (MP) be in the next Swedish government?SELL0.72$12.10
09-16 08:10Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act?SELL0.12$0.86
09-15 03:51Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Florida Senate election by 9%-12%?SELL0.26$2.79
09-13 08:02Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.447$9.39
09-07 06:18Will Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca win the next Lima mayoral elections?SELL0.12$2.64
09-03 21:28Will the Democrats win Genesee County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.29$6.09
08-27 04:38Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MI-10 House election by 3%-6%?SELL0.12$0.80
08-25 14:40Will Roseana Sarney win the second-most votes in the 2026 Maranhão Senate election?SELL0.15$3.26
08-24 14:57Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?SELL0.36$7.56
08-17 03:10Will Democrats win exactly 8 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.73$15.33