ERN993
0x8740bd5653381dfef90bbda456e871a54c676fac
- Realised P&L
- $-9.3k
- Volume
- $23.32M
- Markets traded
- 813
- Open portfolio
- $250.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded813
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$328.1kat 0.500Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$174.0kat 0.090Will France win on 2026-06-22?
- +$148.2kat 0.140Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$146.5kat 0.100Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
- +$118.2kat 0.251Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 21:30 | Will CF Montréal win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.004 | $2.66 |
| 06-25 21:50 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.50 |
| 06-25 21:49 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.011 | $21.43 |
| 06-25 21:48 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | SELL | 0.017 | $0.09 |
| 06-25 20:05 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.4k |
| 06-25 07:37 | Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.24 | $240.00 |
| 06-24 23:54 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | SELL | 0.21 | $4.6k |
| 06-24 23:53 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 06-24 23:52 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.98 | $3.1k |
| 06-24 23:52 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.9799999987 | $310.00 |
| 06-24 22:45 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.39 | $78.00 |
| 06-23 18:48 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | SELL | 0.05 | $429.56 |
| 06-23 18:48 | Will Ghana win on 2026-06-23? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.2k |
| 06-23 17:08 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | SELL | 0.006 | $266.51 |
| 06-23 17:06 | Will Portugal vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | SELL | 0.03 | $9.18 |