0x873225e6e81581b72f531804d53c063af7654f44
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $285.3k
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $4.0k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration54.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.011 | $2.2k | −$1.2k |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.025 | 0.025 | $1.8k | −$57.37 |
| Anduril Industries IPO before 2027? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.035 | $26.26 | −$69.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-100.71at 0.031Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 23:30 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.026937788 | $43.30 |
| 09-14 23:25 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.011 | $47.40 |
| 09-12 12:42 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0269999998 | $2.06 |
| 09-06 14:06 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.025 | $2.69 |
| 08-29 10:44 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999997 | $43.29 |
| 08-29 10:43 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0244029591 | $47.39 |
| 08-27 16:22 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0230220799 | $1.51 |
| 08-23 13:16 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0229999997 | $90.84 |
| 08-20 02:27 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999927 | $1.51 |
| 08-15 19:52 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0109999967 | $3.31 |
| 08-06 15:09 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0259999996 | $59.43 |
| 08-06 15:08 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.0152309117 | $849.00 |
| 07-13 13:54 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0229795404 | $96.48 |
| 07-10 14:53 | Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.0229999998 | $96.15 |
| 07-08 03:23 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0299999997 | $97.39 |