PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

hh982365

0x872aee431ce627d11401cbd8f16e0e2348d582cb

Realised P&L
$-15.83
Volume
$5.5k
Markets traded
335
Open portfolio
$188.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded335
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 10? · No0.6700.885$22.03+$5.35
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 10? · No0.5570.540$15.92−$0.49
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 8? · Yes0.5950.996$15.43+$6.21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 9? · No0.6750.810$13.21+$2.20
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on October 9? · No0.5610.425$12.75−$4.07
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 86-87°F on October 8? · No0.6410.805$11.50+$2.33
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on October 8? · No0.7620.745$10.76−$0.24
Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 30°C on October 8? · Yes0.5720.530$8.76−$0.69
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9? · Yes0.5230.660$6.94+$1.44
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 10? · No0.7600.840$6.63+$0.63
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 8? · No0.7600.986$6.47+$1.48
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 9? · No0.8700.925$6.30+$0.37
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9? · No0.5300.590$5.99+$0.61
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on October 9? · No0.6440.675$5.78+$0.26
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 9? · No0.7000.670$5.36−$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 11:58Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on October 8?SELL0.999$6.93
10-08 10:32Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 10?BUY0.55$4.66
10-08 07:44Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.56$5.50
10-08 07:44Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.56$5.50
10-08 07:44Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on October 10?BUY0.55$5.41
10-08 07:30Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 10?BUY0.6512313003$5.66
10-08 07:06Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 10?BUY0.68$5.51
10-08 07:06Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 10?BUY0.68$5.51
10-08 05:41Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on October 9?BUY0.711$5.47
10-08 01:38Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 9?BUY0.5229657795$5.50
10-08 01:18Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on October 9?BUY0.5747478992$5.47
10-08 00:43Will the lowest temperature in Ankara be 5°C or below on October 9?BUY0.51$2.55
10-08 00:21Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 16°C on October 9?BUY0.87$5.92
10-07 23:58Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on October 7?SELL0.998$17.60
10-07 23:19Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?BUY0.53$5.38