PolyBot

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Traders

Magicianone

0x8729ebacb166c6f5a02f770a477c6f0b7583d3f8

Realised P&L
$-696.04
Volume
$6.7k
Markets traded
14
Open portfolio
$250.69

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded14
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? · No0.6541.000$152.93+$52.93
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.7650.160$62.58$237.42
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? · Yes0.2200.045$35.18$136.82
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$200.00
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$90.00
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? · Yes0.5700.000$0.00$200.00
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2580.000$0.00$50.00
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00$30.00
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$30.00
US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1800.000$0.00$108.00
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$150.00
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$39.00
US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? · Yes0.5600.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-04 16:33Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.764637592$300.00
03-04 16:32Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2581557322$50.00
03-04 16:32Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?BUY0.2599999945$30.00
03-04 16:31Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?BUY0.2199999992$172.00
03-04 16:26Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?BUY0.6538790331$100.00
03-04 16:18US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?BUY0.5699999991$200.00
03-04 16:18US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31?BUY0.5599999993$100.00
01-11 15:29Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?BUY0.15$150.00
01-11 15:28Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3299999984$90.00
01-11 15:26Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?BUY0.13$39.00
01-11 15:25US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?BUY0.1$30.00
01-11 15:25US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?BUY0.18$108.00
01-09 15:39Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?BUY0.3521294888$338.00
01-09 15:38Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?BUY0.1799999993$200.00