Magicianone
0x8729ebacb166c6f5a02f770a477c6f0b7583d3f8
- Realised P&L
- $-696.04
- Volume
- $6.7k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $250.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-10.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration61.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$621.87at 0.352Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-04 16:33 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.764637592 | $300.00 |
| 03-04 16:32 | Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2581557322 | $50.00 |
| 03-04 16:32 | Will UAE strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2599999945 | $30.00 |
| 03-04 16:31 | Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999992 | $172.00 |
| 03-04 16:26 | Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.6538790331 | $100.00 |
| 03-04 16:18 | US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $200.00 |
| 03-04 16:18 | US announces military support of Iran opposition by March 31? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |
| 01-11 15:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $150.00 |
| 01-11 15:28 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999984 | $90.00 |
| 01-11 15:26 | Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 01-11 15:25 | US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.1 | $30.00 |
| 01-11 15:25 | US strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.18 | $108.00 |
| 01-09 15:39 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.3521294888 | $338.00 |
| 01-09 15:38 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BUY | 0.1799999993 | $200.00 |