xkmA
0x8728f85caae600e0c0c4862e786ccea8d7758c83
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $384.5k
- Markets traded
- 53
- Open portfolio
- $113.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded53
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 19? · No | 0.998 | 0.996 | $87.53 | −$0.22 |
| Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 18? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $25.87 | −$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$868.29at 0.988Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
- +$447.13at 0.988Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
- +$208.66at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $62,000 on April 15?
- +$92.90at 0.820US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$47.80at 0.955Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-15 12:22 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $87.75 |
| 09-15 12:21 | Will the price of Solana be less than $60 on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.97 |
| 09-15 12:20 | Will the price of Solana be greater than $140 on September 17? | BUY | 0.9980925926 | $215.59 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $125 on September 16? | BUY | 0.9981304348 | $114.79 |
| 09-15 12:18 | Will the price of Solana be above $130 on September 16? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.98 |
| 09-11 00:50 | Will the price of Solana be between $50 and $60 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 09-11 00:49 | Will the price of Solana be less than $50 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.97 |
| 07-21 17:25 | Hamburg European Open: Oleksandra Oliynykova vs Nastasja Schunk | BUY | 0.89 | $511.90 |
| 07-14 15:22 | Spread: Spain (-3.5) | BUY | 0.992 | $521.99 |
| 06-13 10:56 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $95.54 |
| 06-13 05:30 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? | BUY | 0.977 | $506.71 |
| 06-12 02:42 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY | 0.99 | $28.27 |
| 06-11 19:00 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY | 0.988 | $326.04 |
| 06-11 10:32 | Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12? | BUY | 0.94 | $1.7k |
| 06-03 11:56 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.965 | $397.98 |