0x871e8d6f5e9bdeb2340caf5cddc6018b73ebf8fa
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $33.79
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration30.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.295 | $10.17 | +$0.17 |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes | 0.240 | 0.235 | $9.79 | −$0.21 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.285 | $9.50 | −$0.50 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? · Yes | 0.137 | 0.128 | $2.33 | −$0.17 |
| Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.028 | $2.00 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 22:26 | Will Republicans win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats? | BUY | 0.1369999939 | $2.50 |
| 10-30 22:24 | Will Republicans win the Texas and Michigan Senate seats, and Democrats win Maine? | BUY | 0.0349999997 | $2.50 |
| 10-30 21:12 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.2399999981 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 21:11 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999968 | $10.00 |
| 10-30 20:59 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.299999994 | $10.00 |