PolyBot

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Traders

0x87046CC15301a1EB23A62d5A53D44301c4963b94-1771603855483

0x87046cc15301a1eb23a62d5a53d44301c4963b94

Realised P&L
$5.2k
Volume
$1.33M
Markets traded
10,956
Open portfolio
$187.79

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10,956
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
CautionProfit concentration45.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Kristina Loewen win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · No0.0040.444$48.73+$48.33
Will Romeo Doubs have 249.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · No0.0150.495$22.52+$21.84
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.025$18.59+$17.81
Will Loyal Wooldridge win the next Kelowna Centre British Columbia Legislative Assembly election? · Yes0.0050.163$13.07+$12.69
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $170B by October 31? · Yes0.0020.025$11.25+$10.47
Will SJK finish 10th in the 2026 Veikkausliiga (Finland)? · No0.0120.165$11.19+$10.38
Will Databricks' valuation hit (LOW) $160B by October 31? · Yes0.0010.019$10.35+$9.57
Exact Margin: Other · Yes0.0100.495$8.64+$8.46
Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $200B by October 31? · Yes0.0240.440$7.08+$6.69
Will Travis Hunter finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season? · Yes0.0300.401$5.01+$4.64
Will Jaxon Smith-Njigba finish as a top-12 WR in the 2026-27 NFL season? · No0.0150.483$4.83+$4.68
Will Podemos win the most seats in the Balearic Islands in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0020.025$3.65+$3.35
Will Broad Front (FA) win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0040.034$3.15+$2.78
Will PSOE win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? · Yes0.0030.029$2.78+$2.52
M15 Maanshan: Toshiki Karigyo vs Shao Zhang · Shao Zhang0.0400.285$2.56+$2.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 22:43Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-2.5)SELL0.011$0.33
11-01 21:19Will the Republican Party win the SC-05 House seat?SELL0.06$0.18
11-01 14:04Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?SELL0.03$0.01
10-31 22:17Spread: Parma Calcio 1913 (-1.5)SELL0.046$0.26
10-31 22:17Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?SELL0.004$0.02
10-31 07:16Will voter turnout be 79% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?SELL0.024$0.65
10-30 06:04Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?SELL0.05$0.25
10-30 06:04Will the Republican Party win the SD-AL House seat?SELL0.04$0.52
10-29 23:52Will Databricks' valuation hit (HIGH) $220B by October 31?SELL0.017$0.58
10-29 16:05Will Democrats win exactly 1 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?SELL0.031$0.10
10-29 13:32Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.005$0.06
10-29 11:56Will Meta be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?SELL0.005$0.06
10-28 16:54Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?SELL0.08$0.46
10-28 03:32Next Israeli government formed by June 30, 2027?SELL0.3$0.31
10-27 14:08Will Jack Doherty be sentenced to less than 2 years in prison?SELL0.007$0.00