funyuny
0x86fdb104d7bdd11709802ea0a7e4ee06ea503fdb
- Realised P&L
- $-153.51
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 112
- Open portfolio
- $69.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded112
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on September 24? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $69.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.73at 0.940Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 8?
- +$8.69at 0.927Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C on May 29?
- +$7.02at 0.955Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 11?
- +$6.32at 0.780Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$6.10at 0.938Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 06:28 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on September 24? | BUY | 0.9981736828 | $69.00 |
| 09-21 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on September 22? | BUY | 0.99 | $68.00 |
| 09-18 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 19? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.83 |
| 09-15 06:13 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.9981905741 | $68.00 |
| 09-13 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 14? | BUY | 0.9980236886 | $68.00 |
| 09-10 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10? | BUY | 0.9979999933 | $68.00 |
| 09-10 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $67.60 |
| 09-09 11:27 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 10? | BUY | 0.99 | $67.00 |
| 09-07 05:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8? | BUY | 0.996 | $67.00 |
| 09-07 05:33 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.351 | $2.61 |
| 09-07 05:33 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 09-07 05:33 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $58.46 |
| 09-07 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.9739999998 | $57.00 |
| 08-29 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.78 | $1.55 |
| 08-29 01:11 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29? | SELL | 0.7977015521 | $35.98 |