PolyBot

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Traders

funyuny

0x86fdb104d7bdd11709802ea0a7e4ee06ea503fdb

Realised P&L
$-153.51
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
112
Open portfolio
$69.09

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded112
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on September 24? · No0.9981.000$69.09+$0.09
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 06:28Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C or below on September 24?BUY0.9981736828$69.00
09-21 07:57Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on September 22?BUY0.99$68.00
09-18 05:35Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on September 19?BUY0.999$6.83
09-15 06:13Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 27°C on September 16?BUY0.9981905741$68.00
09-13 05:30Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C or below on September 14?BUY0.9980236886$68.00
09-10 00:30Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C or below on September 10?BUY0.9979999933$68.00
09-10 00:29Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 10?SELL0.999$67.60
09-09 11:27Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on September 10?BUY0.99$67.00
09-07 05:34Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on September 8?BUY0.996$67.00
09-07 05:33Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.351$2.61
09-07 05:33Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?SELL0.64$6.40
09-07 05:33Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 7?SELL0.999$58.46
09-07 00:44Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on September 7?BUY0.9739999998$57.00
08-29 01:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29?SELL0.78$1.55
08-29 01:11Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on August 29?SELL0.7977015521$35.98