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0x86fb17ce6e6a5a97574383ef06020bf515295976
- Realised P&L
- $4.4k
- Volume
- $77.3k
- Markets traded
- 357
- Open portfolio
- $253.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded357
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)4.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration65.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| J.P. Crawford: Total Bases O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.500 | $165.57 | +$26.49 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.420 | 0.305 | $88.20 | −$33.26 |
| Iván Herrera: Total Bases O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$138.62 |
| Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) · Seattle Mariners | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$269.71 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.167Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
- +$674.57at 0.402Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies
- +$492.09at 0.492Houston Astros vs. Tampa Bay Rays
- +$437.75at 0.522Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$431.93at 0.436Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 02:21 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.4199999988 | $121.46 |
| 09-16 01:36 | J.P. Crawford: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4199999989 | $139.08 |
| 09-15 23:42 | Iván Herrera: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4199999988 | $138.62 |
| 09-15 22:37 | Chase Meidroth: Total Bases O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.4399999987 | $54.95 |
| 09-15 04:48 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | SELL | 0.999 | $1.4k |
| 09-15 04:26 | Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | BUY | 0.16 | $227.90 |
| 09-15 03:36 | San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.16 | $106.01 |
| 09-15 01:35 | Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) | BUY | 0.37 | $269.71 |
| 09-14 22:41 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.629999997 | $56.43 |
| 09-14 22:12 | Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) | BUY | 0.409999999 | $53.00 |
| 09-14 02:02 | Cowboys vs. Giants: O/U 46.5 | BUY | 0.6099999976 | $95.59 |
| 09-13 23:52 | Jaxson Dart: Rushing Yards O/U 29.5 | BUY | 0.5499999995 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 23:19 | Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants | BUY | 0.5699999979 | $35.00 |
| 09-13 23:18 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | SELL | 0.9841254181 | $235.40 |
| 09-13 20:43 | Spread: Raiders (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4343562935 | $103.90 |