Tenebrys
0x86f4d668a1e50d704c1d2606d93e27767710a444
- Realised P&L
- $-782.19
- Volume
- $20.4k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $107.53
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration81.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.230 | $107.53 | +$37.40 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$141.64at 0.860First Round Pool C: Japan vs. South Korea
- +$20.07at 0.130Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?
- +$10.23at 0.989Will Japan win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic?
- +$2.99at 0.982First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia
- +$0.00at 0.810US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 07:46 | Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | SELL | 0.3 | $140.25 |
| 04-04 20:44 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.81 | $1.0k |
| 03-10 12:16 | First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | BUY | 0.9889861046 | $861.18 |
| 03-10 12:14 | First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | BUY | 0.8720264142 | $34.99 |
| 03-08 21:43 | Will Japan win Pool C at the 2026 World Baseball Classic? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 03-07 07:24 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $25.08 |
| 03-07 07:23 | Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? | BUY | 0.13 | $104.00 |