PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Safdar16

0x86f3d4bb1875e73c978b7e926b0cbceaa30eaf44

Realised P&L
$-4.90
Volume
$30.3k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$21.00

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration98.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.2280.070$9.75−$21.97
Will Venezuela recognize Israel by December 31? · Yes0.1200.075$7.50−$4.50
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0040.001$2.25−$14.25
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.0030.001$1.50−$7.50
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0440.000$0.00−$1.10
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$0.05
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 9-15? · No0.0100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 13:08Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?BUY0.799$15.98
06-18 08:51Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?SELL0.125$5.25