PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bpol1863

0x86f3ac050b1750b5f11e5e7431a14a45a2b0c859

Realised P&L
$-159.35
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$11.57

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia Ruzic · Antonia Ruzic0.2801.000$3.57+$2.57
KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha Eagles · LG Twins0.4601.000$2.17+$1.17
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.5801.000$1.72+$0.72
Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.120$1.50$1.50
Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027? · Yes0.3900.540$1.38+$0.38
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.790$1.22+$0.22
Hurricanes vs. Islanders · Islanders0.4400.000$0.00$5.00
Knicks vs. Nuggets · Nuggets0.4900.000$0.00$20.00
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$2.40
Suns vs. Kings · Kings0.2600.000$0.00$30.00
Mavericks vs. Hornets · Mavericks0.1600.000$0.00$7.00
Nets vs. Heat · Nets0.1700.000$0.00$10.00
Rice Owls vs. North Texas Mean Green · Rice Owls0.5690.000$0.00$35.89
Butler Bulldogs vs. DePaul Blue Demons · DePaul Blue Demons0.5650.000$0.00$28.59
Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.3600.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-04 03:50Will Lighter dip to $2.5 before 2027?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-31 15:29Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.65$1.00
08-03 04:40National Bank Open: Lois Boisson vs Antonia RuzicBUY0.2799998432$1.00
07-25 07:11KBO: LG Twins vs. Hanwha EaglesBUY0.4599997608$1.00
06-28 08:46Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.579999826$1.00
05-31 05:35Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.24$3.00
05-14 01:14Spurs vs. TimberwolvesBUY0.3599999208$2.00
04-29 06:06Raptors vs. CavaliersBUY0.7699999877$5.00
04-13 02:51Hurricanes vs. IslandersBUY0.4399999648$5.00
03-15 08:28Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?BUY0.4599999595$5.00
03-10 07:53Raptors vs. RocketsBUY0.6390002098$5.00
03-07 05:25Butler Bulldogs vs. DePaul Blue DemonsBUY0.5899999992$29.75
03-07 05:24Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL0.979$896.57
03-07 05:01Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.98$897.49
03-06 05:25Knicks vs. NuggetsBUY0.4899999939$20.00