fgmjhgj8
0x86f288429c2df7ef535aa925d87a21e05b387537
- Realised P&L
- $7.35
- Volume
- $4.9k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $35.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 September 21-27? · No | 0.964 | 0.974 | $35.05 | +$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.62at 0.920Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 September 7-13?
- +$0.70at 0.200Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
- +$0.43at 0.986Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in August?
- +$0.42at 0.988Will Ethereum reach $2,800 September 14-20?
- +$0.36at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 15:30 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,700 and $2,800 on September 19? | BUY | 0.997 | $34.90 |
| 09-18 15:58 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on September 18? | BUY | 0.997 | $33.90 |
| 09-14 15:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 14? | BUY | 0.991 | $33.69 |
| 09-14 03:37 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 September 7-13? | BUY | 0.993 | $33.76 |
| 09-10 15:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on September 10? | BUY | 0.989 | $30.66 |
| 09-07 01:23 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 August 31-September 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $30.78 |
| 09-05 12:45 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 August 31-September 6? | SELL | 0.992 | $30.75 |
| 08-30 15:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 August 24-30? | BUY | 0.994 | $29.82 |
| 08-28 02:28 | Will Solana reach $115 on August 27? | BUY | 0.989 | $29.67 |
| 08-27 15:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on August 27? | BUY | 0.992 | $29.75 |
| 08-20 15:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on August 20? | BUY | 0.994 | $23.66 |
| 08-17 06:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 17? | BUY | 0.988 | $23.12 |
| 08-17 01:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 August 10-16? | BUY | 0.998 | $23.05 |
| 08-16 09:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 16? | BUY | 0.99 | $22.87 |
| 08-15 09:53 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $22.65 |