PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

JUSTINHERBERTMVP

0x86e99faea12fccd8925de5d9f052471baf7a4cdf

Realised P&L
$-215.7k
Volume
$22.58M
Markets traded
1,963
Open portfolio
$25.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,963
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration6.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5 · Over0.5200.505$10.2k$303.54
Will the Los Angeles Chargers make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.6490.475$5.9k$2.2k
Lions vs. Bills · Lions0.3300.305$2.6k$214.86
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.6500.335$1.4k$1.3k
Will Justin Herbert win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.1000.047$1.0k$1.2k
Will the Dallas Cowboys make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.5290.395$701.61$238.05
Will Ohio State Buckeyes win the 2027 CFP National Championship? · Yes0.1400.135$558.51$20.68
Will Justin Herbert have 3,599.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.5580.470$341.22$63.81
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1370.112$334.50$76.45
Will the New Orleans Saints make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · No0.6700.685$256.88+$5.63
Will the Philadelphia 76ers be the 2027 NBA Eastern Conference Champion? · Yes0.2360.211$253.80$29.98
Will Justin Herbert have 3,099.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.8070.855$234.08+$13.08
Will the Seattle Seahawks make the 2027 NFL Playoffs? · Yes0.6700.675$211.95+$1.57
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · Yes0.0900.050$200.00$159.19
Will Justin Herbert have 3,349.5+ passing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? · Yes0.6560.630$170.16$6.93

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 08:24Lions vs. BillsBUY0.33$939.64
09-17 08:24Lions vs. BillsBUY0.33$1.9k
09-17 08:24Lions vs. Bills: O/U 58.5BUY0.4$98.46
09-17 08:24Lions vs. Bills: O/U 56.5BUY0.45$85.09
09-17 08:24Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5BUY0.52$5.3k
09-15 21:54Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.953$10.4k
09-15 18:43Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.95$14.0k
09-15 15:47Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.13$1.3k
09-15 00:14Spread: Chiefs (-2.5)BUY0.53$1.4k
09-15 00:13Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 42.5BUY0.5$4.9k
09-14 21:50Broncos vs. Chiefs: O/U 43.5BUY0.53$1.4k
09-14 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.6924563801$500.00
09-14 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.619688111$500.00
09-14 21:05Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.5971560346$500.00
09-14 21:04Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETBUY0.7110796781$500.00
Trader JUSTINHERBERTMVP · PolyBot Pro