zhangfan151
0x86de0516011e2ad7ce3abdc13577de8608db55c3
- Realised P&L
- $-127.8k
- Volume
- $3.19M
- Markets traded
- 5,593
- Open portfolio
- $127.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,593
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.477Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.541Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.546Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
- +$2.6kat 0.548Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$2.5kat 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - July 29, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 09:22 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9334358179 | $119.89 |
| 11-02 09:18 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.9334482759 | $135.35 |
| 11-02 09:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 2, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BUY | 0.9099999999 | $229.83 |
| 11-02 09:10 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $44.02 |
| 11-02 09:10 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.999 | $197.28 |
| 11-02 08:38 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8920161274 | $24.58 |
| 11-02 08:35 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8427316778 | $13.91 |
| 11-02 08:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.8845129427 | $24.18 |
| 11-02 08:30 | Ethereum Up or Down - November 2, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.88 | $149.73 |
| 11-02 08:28 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | BUY | 0.9460836502 | $111.97 |
| 11-02 08:22 | Solana Up or Down - November 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET | BUY | 0.9452406921 | $190.66 |
| 11-02 04:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $186.02 |
| 11-02 03:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - November 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.8299999997 | $523.72 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9323018469 | $282.18 |
| 11-02 03:37 | Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9003579715 | $217.31 |