DogFacedPonyMarket
0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78
- Realised P&L
- $470.13
- Volume
- $147.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,125
- Open portfolio
- $77.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,125
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.85at 0.440Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
- +$228.07at 0.542Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?
- +$182.87at 0.210Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on July 20?
- +$141.72at 0.276Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 33°C on July 13?
- +$134.62at 0.318Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on July 17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.60 |
| 08-03 06:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.07 | $2.19 |
| 08-03 05:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.42 | $4.32 |
| 08-03 05:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.51 | $5.23 |
| 08-03 05:00 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.16 |
| 08-03 04:59 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.12 |
| 08-03 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.12 |
| 08-03 04:57 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 08-03 04:52 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.37 | $0.85 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.75 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.019 | $0.47 |
| 08-03 04:51 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.26 |
| 08-03 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.52 | $2.66 |