PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

DogFacedPonyMarket

0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78

Realised P&L
$470.13
Volume
$147.3k
Markets traded
1,125
Open portfolio
$77.76

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,125
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration44.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 06:43Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.08$1.60
08-03 06:43Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.07$2.19
08-03 05:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.42$4.32
08-03 05:43Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.51$5.23
08-03 05:00Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.4$2.16
08-03 04:59Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.4$4.12
08-03 04:57Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.4$4.12
08-03 04:57Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.04$0.80
08-03 04:52Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.52$2.60
08-03 04:52Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 3?BUY0.37$0.85
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.04$1.26
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.02$0.75
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.019$0.47
08-03 04:51Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.04$1.26
08-03 04:48Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.52$2.66