DogFacedPonyMarket
0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78
- Realised P&L
- $245.60
- Volume
- $289.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,371
- Open portfolio
- $141.62
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,371
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$512.43at 0.455Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 28?
- +$385.73at 0.029Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on August 24?
- +$339.34at 0.342Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 2?
- +$261.73at 0.635Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 1?
- +$258.01at 0.445Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on August 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 08:43 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.08 |
| 09-18 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.17 |
| 09-18 08:42 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.2 | $4.17 |
| 09-18 08:40 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.5864118372 | $19.02 |
| 09-18 08:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.57 | $11.40 |
| 09-18 07:58 | Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide? | BUY | 0.46 | $2.30 |
| 09-18 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.15 | $0.75 |
| 09-18 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.588125 | $23.52 |
| 09-18 05:18 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $7.39 |
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.27 | $3.67 |
| 09-18 05:16 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.59 | $5.90 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.13 | $26.00 |
| 09-18 05:15 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |