PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

DogFacedPonyMarket

0x86d3722904ff990e44f1f3089a7948535538da78

Realised P&L
$245.60
Volume
$289.9k
Markets traded
1,371
Open portfolio
$141.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,371
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-18 08:43Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.2$2.08
09-18 08:42Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.2$4.17
09-18 08:42Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?BUY0.2$4.17
09-18 08:40Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?SELL0.5864118372$19.02
09-18 08:01Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.57$11.40
09-18 07:58Will there be ≤6 earthquakes of 5.5 or above magnitude worldwide?BUY0.46$2.30
09-18 07:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.15$0.75
09-18 07:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.588125$23.52
09-18 05:18Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.13$7.39
09-18 05:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.58$2.90
09-18 05:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C on September 18?SELL0.27$3.67
09-18 05:16Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.58$2.90
09-18 05:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.59$5.90
09-18 05:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 18?BUY0.13$26.00
09-18 05:15Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 18?BUY0.58$5.80