0x86Cd12d3644135aFfb3F329BDf213aD229A5Cac8-1791666240201
0x86cd12d3644135affb3f329bdf213ad229a5cac8
- Realised P&L
- $752.15
- Volume
- $6.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $25.48
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boise State vs. Fresno State · Fresno State | 0.180 | 0.013 | $13.26 | −$177.74 |
| Hawai'i vs. Arizona State · Hawai'i | 0.140 | 0.015 | $12.22 | −$101.78 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$518.22at 0.370LSU vs. Kentucky
- +$271.40at 0.319Texas vs. Oklahoma
- +$253.12at 0.356Texas vs. Oklahoma
- +$187.80at 0.339Tulsa vs. Navy
- +$-478.40at 0.456Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 04:55 | Boise State vs. Fresno State | BUY | 0.1799999998 | $191.00 |
| 10-11 03:41 | Kings vs. Golden Knights | BUY | 0.4434681118 | $670.00 |
| 10-11 03:17 | Hawai'i vs. Arizona State | BUY | 0.1399386233 | $114.00 |
| 10-11 03:16 | LSU vs. Kentucky | SELL | 0.999 | $832.50 |
| 10-11 00:00 | Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.44 | $462.00 |
| 10-10 23:59 | LSU vs. Kentucky | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $300.00 |
| 10-10 23:06 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.3099999998 | $123.50 |
| 10-10 23:05 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | SELL | 0.69 | $542.63 |
| 10-10 22:48 | Texas vs. Oklahoma | BUY | 0.3471389643 | $273.00 |
| 10-10 22:47 | Tulsa vs. Navy | SELL | 0.999 | $287.58 |
| 10-10 21:14 | Tulsa vs. Navy | BUY | 0.3299999999 | $95.00 |