DanRonSantis
0x86c21640e98204b628b12179080fe8a88e5941be
- Realised P&L
- $1.2k
- Volume
- $160.0k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$856.21at 0.184Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01?
- +$393.32at 0.731Will Count Binface win less than 10% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?
- +$343.84at 0.660Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?
- +$278.00at 0.542Grok 4 scores above 40% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
- +$198.54at 0.290Will Kamala Harris say "Charlie" or "Kirk" on the Rachel Maddow Show on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 22:30 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1799 | $89.95 |
| 09-25 19:13 | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BUY | 0.88 | $44.00 |
| 09-25 17:35 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.397 | $39.70 |
| 09-25 17:20 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.397 | $198.50 |
| 09-25 17:20 | Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.397 | $198.50 |
| 09-24 20:48 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.157 | $15.86 |
| 09-24 20:39 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $19.25 |
| 09-24 20:38 | Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.50 |
| 09-24 20:38 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.154 | $20.48 |
| 09-24 20:38 | Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.1539744898 | $30.18 |
| 09-22 04:34 | Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? | BUY | 0.266 | $18.62 |
| 09-18 21:27 | Will the Democratic Party win the ME-02 House seat? | BUY | 0.42 | $168.00 |
| 09-17 03:35 | Will gas hit $4.40 (High) by September 30? | BUY | 0.93 | $27.90 |
| 09-16 19:32 | Will Warsh say "Luck" or "Lucky" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.99 | $14.80 |
| 09-08 22:35 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MO-05 House election by 3% or more? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |