PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

FlashTheLightning

0x86bacf67f78a92bbd719b4021220d5f54725d73a

Realised P&L
$-95.39
Volume
$2.3k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$23.58

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample1 position
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes0.0580.049$23.58−$4.53
US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes0.0180.000$0.00−$9.91
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$38.70
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$47.15
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes0.0350.000$0.00−$15.77

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 14:32Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP?BUY0.0584216187$28.11
06-06 14:21Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?BUY0.0739999984$38.70
05-03 10:05Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix?BUY0.2599999971$47.15
05-02 22:08Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?SELL0.996$48.21
03-07 13:21US forces enter Iran by March 7?BUY0.0179999982$9.91
03-07 13:20Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?BUY0.6190025075$30.00
06-01 23:58Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?BUY0.0279999791$1.27
06-01 23:48Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?BUY0.0359999977$14.50