FlashTheLightning
0x86bacf67f78a92bbd719b4021220d5f54725d73a
- Realised P&L
- $-95.39
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $23.58
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? · Yes | 0.058 | 0.049 | $23.58 | −$4.53 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 7? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.91 |
| Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.70 |
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.15 |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? · Yes | 0.035 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.26at 0.619Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 14:32 | Will Jared Goff win the 2026 NFL MVP? | BUY | 0.0584216187 | $28.11 |
| 06-06 14:21 | Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.0739999984 | $38.70 |
| 05-03 10:05 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Miami Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2599999971 | $47.15 |
| 05-02 22:08 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.996 | $48.21 |
| 03-07 13:21 | US forces enter Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.0179999982 | $9.91 |
| 03-07 13:20 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.6190025075 | $30.00 |
| 06-01 23:58 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.0279999791 | $1.27 |
| 06-01 23:48 | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BUY | 0.0359999977 | $14.50 |