dsafhdkahfka
0x86b931097d7906c8d8603f0817ccf6b563e8edf4
- Realised P&L
- $-183.12
- Volume
- $3.8k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $63.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample11 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.072 | 0.018 | $63.62 | −$185.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.40at 0.620Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
- +$1.39at 0.230ICE shooter charged by March 31?
- +$1.36at 0.410Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
- +$0.53at 0.850Seahawks vs. 49ers
- +$0.36at 0.827Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-12 11:10 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.023999977 | $1.00 |
| 03-21 07:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0729999997 | $248.00 |
| 01-10 01:34 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | SELL | 0.25 | $17.42 |
| 01-10 01:12 | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3 | $1.50 |
| 01-09 07:14 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.24 | $6.00 |
| 01-09 07:03 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $4.60 |
| 01-09 07:03 | ICE shooter charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.22 | $5.43 |
| 01-09 07:01 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $4.15 |
| 01-08 11:25 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 01-08 11:25 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | SELL | 0.58 | $4.64 |
| 01-06 09:30 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31? | SELL | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 01-06 01:52 | Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $3.28 |
| 01-06 01:48 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30? | BUY | 0.71 | $3.55 |
| 01-05 10:11 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | SELL | 0.76 | $5.78 |
| 01-05 00:16 | Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | BUY | 0.81 | $4.05 |