0x86b55538118b81bf5fb22cf4d271134c47272a3b
- Realised P&L
- $25.96
- Volume
- $301.50
- Markets traded
- 4
- Open portfolio
- $1.34
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded4
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? · Yes | 0.196 | 0.013 | $1.34 | −$18.18 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.42at 0.160Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-19.59at 0.310UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)
- +$-19.70at 0.500UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-09 22:34 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $15.89 |
| 06-03 17:41 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.309999991 | $19.59 |
| 06-02 12:44 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $19.70 |
| 06-01 00:58 | Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 NL Cy Young Award? | BUY | 0.1959999934 | $19.52 |