0x86b48a477296a14b1303bb92c81cd0e921a7a9a1
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $189.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.180 | $48.89 | −$51.11 |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? · Yes | 0.302 | 0.120 | $39.76 | −$60.24 |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.110 | $37.83 | +$21.97 |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? · Yes | 0.176 | 0.130 | $36.53 | −$12.85 |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.110 | $26.77 | −$14.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-0.84at 0.490Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m?
- +$-292.14at 0.299Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:29 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 43m? | BUY | 0.1695689216 | $41.26 |
| 11-01 14:40 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 43m? | BUY | 0.0459007265 | $15.86 |
| 11-01 09:44 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | BUY | 0.2520401771 | $23.34 |
| 11-01 09:01 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 31m and 34m? | BUY | 0.1382547771 | $26.05 |
| 11-01 08:59 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 37m and 40m? | BUY | 0.3681989159 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 08:58 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 34m and 37m? | BUY | 0.3018190711 | $100.00 |
| 11-01 07:32 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.16 |
| 11-01 07:32 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | SELL | 0.0805871862 | $107.86 |
| 10-30 23:29 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 10m and 12m? | BUY | 0.4899998383 | $1.00 |
| 10-30 21:51 | Will "Clayface" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 10m? | BUY | 0.2988633791 | $400.00 |