1w1p4s
0x86b39acd5e9a6c2473cf4afa3c303f2fc2eb8828
- Realised P&L
- $1.1k
- Volume
- $110.9k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $244.45
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.590Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?
- +$880.27at 0.168MegaETH $250M pre-deposit bridge filled in 15 minutes?
- +$720.76at 0.499Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?
- +$664.74at 0.162Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$510.43at 0.660Over $10M committed to the ZKLSOL raise on MetaDAO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-14 17:49 | Will France win on 2026-07-14? | BUY | 0.3774999938 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 17:49 | Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.4499999946 | $25.00 |
| 07-14 17:45 | France vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.5699999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-11 23:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5699999939 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 23:52 | Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.7549999998 | $200.00 |
| 07-11 21:02 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5199999958 | $50.00 |
| 07-11 20:58 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5374999964 | $30.00 |
| 07-11 15:45 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-10 21:20 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5799999987 | $35.00 |
| 07-10 21:17 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $8.43 |
| 07-10 21:17 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.5149999933 | $30.00 |
| 07-10 21:09 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3102485828 | $150.00 |
| 07-10 21:04 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.244 | $10.98 |
| 07-10 20:11 | Lamine Yamal: 1+ goals | BUY | 0.2899999915 | $15.00 |
| 07-10 18:51 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.3374999959 | $30.00 |