deqe
0x86aed6d61de814b3c7bd5e93af4c509844de1b7c
- Realised P&L
- $1.86
- Volume
- $11.9k
- Markets traded
- 248
- Open portfolio
- $19.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded248
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat? · No | 0.940 | 0.925 | $19.55 | −$0.32 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.05at 0.964Will the US next strike Iran on January 23, 2026 (ET)?
- +$0.66at 0.910Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
- +$0.35at 0.910Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?
- +$0.29at 0.961Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$0.21at 0.930Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 08:29 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.95 | $9.56 |
| 06-21 21:30 | Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.98 | $6.83 |
| 06-21 19:42 | Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.978 | $9.59 |
| 06-21 12:36 | Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.98 | $7.07 |
| 06-21 02:18 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.98 | $11.00 |
| 06-20 02:59 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.26 |
| 06-19 15:16 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.977 | $11.49 |
| 06-19 12:53 | Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.978 | $11.27 |
| 06-19 03:08 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.978 | $7.42 |
| 06-18 22:48 | Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | SELL | 0.979 | $8.83 |
| 06-18 17:48 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.979 | $7.73 |
| 06-18 16:50 | Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.977 | $7.80 |
| 06-17 19:27 | Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | SELL | 0.978 | $11.83 |
| 06-17 09:50 | Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.977 | $8.89 |
| 06-16 13:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.927 | $10.24 |