PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

deqe

0x86aed6d61de814b3c7bd5e93af4c509844de1b7c

Realised P&L
$1.86
Volume
$11.9k
Markets traded
248
Open portfolio
$19.55

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded248
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration28.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-04 House seat? · No0.9400.925$19.55−$0.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 08:29Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.95$9.56
06-21 21:30Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.98$6.83
06-21 19:42Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.978$9.59
06-21 12:36Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.98$7.07
06-21 02:18Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.98$11.00
06-20 02:59Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.979$8.26
06-19 15:16Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.977$11.49
06-19 12:53Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.978$11.27
06-19 03:08Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?BUY0.978$7.42
06-18 22:48Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?SELL0.979$8.83
06-18 17:48Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.979$7.73
06-18 16:50Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.977$7.80
06-17 19:27Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?SELL0.978$11.83
06-17 09:50Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series?SELL0.977$8.89
06-16 13:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.927$10.24