Dexsaf
0x86a6a519817e7bb547743b3a33899c29b4a04c3f
- Realised P&L
- $-42.05
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $0.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.375 | 0.078 | $0.92 | −$3.50 |
| Will Ed Miliband be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes | 0.327 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
| Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on July 31? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.95 |
| Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.35B? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.80 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.50at 0.303Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?
- +$3.99at 0.310Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?
- +$3.00at 0.500Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
- +$1.59at 0.329Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.34at 0.490Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-13 08:03 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.67 | $0.21 |
| 07-13 06:35 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | SELL | 0.3024038835 | $15.57 |
| 07-13 06:34 | Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat? | SELL | 0.65 | $12.31 |
| 07-13 06:33 | Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.86 |
| 07-12 04:55 | Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.97 |
| 07-12 04:01 | Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50? | SELL | 0.6420754717 | $13.61 |
| 07-12 04:00 | Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12.75B? | SELL | 0.3769866403 | $7.62 |
| 07-12 03:58 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.243 | $1.21 |
| 07-12 00:25 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | BUY | 0.2927127786 | $16.10 |
| 07-11 15:40 | Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | SELL | 0.7104545455 | $15.63 |
| 07-11 15:39 | Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? | SELL | 0.46 | $4.47 |
| 07-11 15:38 | Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%? | SELL | 0.2522727273 | $2.78 |
| 07-11 15:38 | Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | SELL | 0.45 | $1.38 |
| 07-11 15:37 | Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series? | SELL | 0.71 | $0.42 |
| 07-11 12:16 | Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match? | BUY | 0.48 | $24.99 |