PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dexsaf

0x86a6a519817e7bb547743b3a33899c29b4a04c3f

Realised P&L
$-42.05
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$0.92

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration51.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample23 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Ornn H200 Index be at least $7.50 on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3750.078$0.92$3.50
Will Ed Miliband be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026? · Yes0.3270.000$0.00$6.70
Will Lambda have the third highest private market valuation on July 31? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$1.95
Will International Business Machines (IBM) Q2 Software revenue be above $8.35B? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$12.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-13 08:03Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?SELL0.67$0.21
07-13 06:35Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?SELL0.3024038835$15.57
07-13 06:34Will the Republican Party win the MN-01 House seat?SELL0.65$12.31
07-13 06:33Coca-Cola (KO) Q2 global unit case volume growth <3.5%?SELL0.33$6.86
07-12 04:55Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $4.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?BUY0.32$2.97
07-12 04:01Will Prologis (PLD) Q2 core FFO per diluted share be above $1.50?SELL0.6420754717$13.61
07-12 04:00Will GE Aerospace (GE) Q2 adjusted revenue be above $12.75B?SELL0.3769866403$7.62
07-12 03:58Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?SELL0.243$1.21
07-12 00:25Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?BUY0.2927127786$16.10
07-11 15:40Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?SELL0.7104545455$15.63
07-11 15:39Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?SELL0.46$4.47
07-11 15:38Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 3.50% and 3.99%?SELL0.2522727273$2.78
07-11 15:38Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?SELL0.45$1.38
07-11 15:37Will Christopher McDonald – “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a comedy series?SELL0.71$0.42
07-11 12:16Will the announcers say "Ronaldo" during the Argentina vs Switzerland FIFA World Cup Match?BUY0.48$24.99