toppro
0x86a3a82488335786e3fe98fe03f8d00fba70ebd1
- Realised P&L
- $0.65
- Volume
- $23.12
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $9.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 3? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.905 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.910 | 0.925 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.955 | $2.03 | +$0.03 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 2? · Yes | 0.958 | 0.972 | $1.52 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.967 | $1.05 | +$0.05 |
| Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 1? · Yes | 0.915 | 0.942 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.31at 0.907Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September?
- +$0.17at 0.953Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September?
- +$0.17at 0.953Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September?
- +$-0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 08:26 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 3? | BUY | 0.85 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 08:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 5? | BUY | 0.94 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 08:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.91 | $2.00 |
| 10-01 08:25 | Will the price of Solana be above $110 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9579999757 | $1.50 |
| 10-01 08:24 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 1? | BUY | 0.92 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 08:24 | Will the price of Solana be above $115 on October 1? | BUY | 0.9149999908 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 13:54 | Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in September? | BUY | 0.95 | $3.50 |
| 09-22 13:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,300 in September? | BUY | 0.9499998779 | $3.50 |
| 09-22 13:53 | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in September? | BUY | 0.9009999922 | $3.00 |
| 09-22 12:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 11:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on September 22? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.00 |