justinbeaver
0x86a29f88fcc23ea2b0e01b4e186b043e26c873a8
- Realised P&L
- $80.9k
- Volume
- $48.06M
- Markets traded
- 19,279
- Open portfolio
- $937.88
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19,279
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- CautionProfit concentration37.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration26.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.8kat 0.258Ethereum Up or Down - January 6, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$4.8kat 0.352Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
- +$4.6kat 0.536Ethereum Up or Down - December 15, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET
- +$3.8kat 0.504Ethereum Up or Down - December 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET
- +$3.7kat 0.476Ethereum Up or Down - December 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-27 04:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | SELL | 0.15 | $0.02 |
| 03-27 04:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27? | SELL | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 03-27 04:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 03-27 04:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.16 |
| 03-27 04:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.14 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $0.39 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.47 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.993 | $4.96 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.42 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.47 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.42 |
| 03-26 16:19 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.29 | $1.42 |
| 03-26 16:15 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on March 27? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.98 |