PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Oliviauiu

0x869a6076964fd26284ad3c4283f7504cb94ea294

Realised P&L
$36.14
Volume
$13.9k
Markets traded
10
Open portfolio
$241.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded10
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1200.060$135.90−$135.90
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes0.1300.050$105.40−$168.64

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 12:09Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$43.80
07-26 11:25Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$36.00
07-26 09:44Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$36.00
07-26 09:38Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$48.00
07-26 09:12Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$48.00
07-26 08:53Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.12$60.00
06-29 08:59Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$36.14
06-29 08:44Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$39.00
06-29 08:35Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$36.40
06-29 07:39Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$39.00
06-29 07:36Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$37.70
06-29 07:32Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$45.50
06-29 07:09Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31?BUY0.13$40.30
05-30 06:58Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9$345.60
05-14 02:15Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?BUY0.957$350.26