Oliviauiu
0x869a6076964fd26284ad3c4283f7504cb94ea294
- Realised P&L
- $36.14
- Volume
- $13.9k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $241.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration28.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)75.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.060 | $135.90 | −$135.90 |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.050 | $105.40 | −$168.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$13.52at 0.922Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$10.35at 0.623Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$10.12at 0.914Will the Buffalo Sabres win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$9.15at 0.957Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
- +$3.84at 0.900Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 12:09 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $43.80 |
| 07-26 11:25 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 07-26 09:44 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $36.00 |
| 07-26 09:38 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $48.00 |
| 07-26 09:12 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $48.00 |
| 07-26 08:53 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |
| 06-29 08:59 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $36.14 |
| 06-29 08:44 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 06-29 08:35 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $36.40 |
| 06-29 07:39 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $39.00 |
| 06-29 07:36 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $37.70 |
| 06-29 07:32 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $45.50 |
| 06-29 07:09 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | BUY | 0.13 | $40.30 |
| 05-30 06:58 | Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9 | $345.60 |
| 05-14 02:15 | Will Germany send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.957 | $350.26 |