chosenonelbj1
0x8697c2362229c13093509abf342e21c509ae86bc
- Realised P&L
- $-372.15
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $165.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration96.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.208 | 0.170 | $165.75 | −$37.15 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$76.78at 0.283Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$1.72at 0.291Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$0.85at 0.366Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$-1.31at 0.112Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale?
- +$-18.39at 0.136alon called coin FDV above $20M one day after the call?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-08 11:07 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 11:07 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 10:36 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $72.00 |
| 10-08 10:14 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $16.10 |
| 04-30 07:48 | Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.017 | $3.41 |
| 04-30 07:48 | Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.0042857143 | $1.50 |
| 04-30 07:48 | Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.021 | $1.93 |
| 04-29 21:43 | Over $6M committed to the Printr public sale? | SELL | 0.077 | $2.53 |
| 04-29 20:43 | Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.35 | $4.06 |
| 04-29 20:42 | Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale? | BUY | 0.2818365473 | $12.28 |
| 01-15 23:57 | alon called coin FDV above $20M one day after the call? | BUY | 0.1362451852 | $18.39 |
| 12-20 23:40 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.40 |
| 12-19 20:59 | Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19? | SELL | 0.04 | $60.80 |