PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x868e840a3777361386ABF7DcebDb40dE001D5392-1772049903515

0x868e840a3777361386abf7dcebdb40de001d5392

Realised P&L
$-830.63
Volume
$57.0k
Markets traded
133
Open portfolio
$6.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded133
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13? · Yes0.0390.024$3.63−$2.37
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 13? · Yes0.0130.009$1.95−$1.05
Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 13? · Yes0.0060.004$0.69−$0.31
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET · Up0.1230.000$0.00−$6.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$0.10
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on March 8? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Solana dip to $60 in February? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 2? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 April 13-19? · Yes0.0270.000$0.00−$10.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET · Down0.0100.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April? · Yes0.0320.000$0.00−$27.50
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on March 8? · No0.0700.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? · Yes0.1410.000$0.00−$50.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET · Up0.0190.000$0.00−$6.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-13 09:02Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-13 09:01Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETBUY0.05$3.00
10-13 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.01$3.00
10-13 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.02$3.00
10-13 08:59Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETBUY0.08$3.00
10-13 08:55Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on October 13?BUY0.0130678282$3.00
10-13 08:55Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on October 13?BUY0.0065353375$1.00
10-13 08:53Will Bitcoin dip to $81,000 on October 13?BUY0.0388349515$6.00
10-13 08:47Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.01$1.00
10-13 08:45Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETBUY0.3499999825$3.00
10-13 08:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.2199999941$3.00
10-13 08:44Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETBUY0.0998535481$3.00
10-13 08:37Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY0.0714285714$3.00
10-13 08:28Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.02$3.00
10-13 08:26Bitcoin Up or Down - October 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ETBUY0.15$3.00