northsouthwest
0x868df370de693732bd8bbf06d39b0fde99785663
- Realised P&L
- $32.28
- Volume
- $69.8k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $62.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample20 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.115 | $62.46 | −$19.01 |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.68 |
| Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.80 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.027 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.38 |
| Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? · Yes | 0.067 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$86.00at 0.140Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?
- +$3.21at 0.966Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$0.39at 0.992Will a Democrat win California Presidential Election?
- +$0.20at 0.996Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
- +$0.05at 0.998Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-05 08:47 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.48 |
| 02-05 08:43 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $3.62 |
| 02-05 08:38 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.64 |
| 02-05 08:35 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.05 |
| 02-05 08:32 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $6.15 |
| 02-05 08:29 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $5.82 |
| 02-05 08:26 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.23 |
| 02-05 08:23 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $7.50 |
| 02-05 08:20 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.10 |
| 02-05 08:17 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $11.03 |
| 02-05 08:14 | Will ACA premium tax credits not be extended and will the Republican Party win the House in 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $8.85 |
| 12-17 13:41 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BUY | 0.966 | $91.09 |
| 06-11 16:28 | Will 8+ Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.38 |
| 06-11 16:28 | Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.02 | $2.00 |
| 06-11 16:27 | Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.038 | $3.80 |